Papers
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The influence of the infrastructure characteristics in urban road accidents occurrence
This paper summarizes the result of a study which contributes to the improvement of road safety in urban areas, through the creation of tools that can be used in intervention methods in the planning and management of road networks.The first tool relates the creation of a geocoded database of road accident occurred in Lisbon between 2004 and 2007, which allowed the definition of digital maps, with the possibility of a wide range of consultations and crossing of information.The second tool concerns the development of models to estimate the frequency of accidents on urban networks, according to different desegregations: road element (intersections and segments); type ofaccident; and inclusion of explanatory variables related to the road environment.
Year: 2012
Number Pages:
11.
Author(s): Vieira Gomes, S.
: Accident Analysis & Prevention
Editor: Elsevier
Volume:
Volume 48.
Keywords: Urban segments; Urban intersections; Accident prediction models; Gis
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An Alternative Revealed Preference Approach for Valuing Traffic Noise Indoors: using ex ante ande ex post choices of apartments
The research reported in this paper is based on a hypothetical revealed preference experiment for valuing traffic noise nuisance as perceived in the interior of apartments located in Lisbon. The experiment used both the observed behavior of householders
Year: 2011
Number Pages:
7p.
Author(s): Arsénio, E.
: Proceedings of the INTERNOISE 2011 "Sound Environment and a Global Issue"
Editor: I-INCE (International Institute of Noise Control Engineering)
Keywords: Costs and benefits; Traffic noise; Random parameters logit model; Economic valuation
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Bayesian Models for the Detection of High Risk Locations on Portuguese Motorways
Hierarchical Bayesian regression models, with differing hyper-prior distributions, are considered as accident prediction models to be fitted on data collected over several years on the Portuguese motorway network. A sensitivity analysis is performed by way of simulation to investigate the practical implications of the choice of informative hyper-priors (Gamma, Christiansen and Uniform) and non-informative Gamma, as well as various sample sizes and years of aggregated data, on the results of a road safety analysis, in particular, at detecting high accident risk locations. It was concluded that informative hyper-priors were best at detecting hotspots when small sample sizes were considered. For bigger samples the various hyper-priors produced equivalent outcomes. Furthermore, more accurate results were obtained when more years of data were analyzed.
Year: 2011
Number Pages:
10.
Author(s): Azeredo Lopes, S.; Cardoso, J. L.
: Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering
Editor: Taylor & Francis Group
Keywords: Accident prediction models; High accident risk locations; Hierarchical regression models; Bayesian analysis
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Promoting Walking and Cycling for Setting Local Carbon Markets: a case study in Portugal
In several cities around the world, measures have been taken to encourage and promote walking and cycling, herein designated as soft mobility modes, which had a high success and contributed to a more sustainable transport system. Within the European context, Portugal has one of the lowest modal split shares of walking and cycling. This is mainly the result of several decades of a transport planning process oriented to road transport infrastructures
Year: 2009
Number Pages:
20 p..
Author(s): Viegas, F.; Arsénio, E.; Neves, J.
Editor: AET
Keywords: Método de preferências declaradas; Modos de transporte suaves; Mercados de carbono; Mobilidade sustentável
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What can be learnt from stated choice experiments in transport noise valuation?
Although stated choice applications to the valuation of transport noise remain novel, there is now a growing body of evidence from which to draw insights into the results and the appropriateness of the methodological approach. This paper draws on the evidence available, which includes four studies by the authors utilising stated choice experiments to value aircraft noise at Lyon, Manchester and Athens airports and road traffic noise in Edinburgh and Lisbon and other key studies.
Year: 2009
Number Pages:
10 pag.
Author(s): Bristow, A.; Wardman, M.; Arsénio, E.; Thanos, S.
Keywords: Aviation noise externalties; Stated preference methods
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The use of international data on fuel sales and vehicle fleet for the estimation of yearly national traffic volumes
International comparisons are frequently used to assess the road safety performance of a country or to monitor its development over time, at a national or regional level. In most instances either accident or injury risks have to be considered, which results in the need for a quantitative estimation of the amount of travel, namely traffic volumes. Only in special cases may risks be indirectly compared using methods of induced exposure.The required data on traffic volumes is not always readily available. This is especially true if old data or data from several countries for a long period are to be used, as in comparative time series analysis. Several simplifying assumptions can be adopted to bypass this lack of data but often the estimates resulting from these simple assumptions are not entirely satisfactory.Between 1996 and 1998 the European Union (EU) sponsored, within the scope of the 4th Research Framework Programme, a COST Action (COST 329) to analyse and establish a common methodological framework for description and analysis of safety developments
Year: 2005
Number Pages:
207-215.
Author(s): Cardoso, J. L.
: Accident Analysis and Prevention
Editor: Elsevier
Volume:
37.
Keywords: Traffic volume; Accident risk; Road Safety
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Comunicação
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The traffic noise influence in the housing market. A case study for Lisbon
The objective of this paper is to provide an empirical analysis of the influence of traffic noise has on the housing market. Traffic noise can be considered as an environmental externality from road transport system. As so, it affects the value that people are willing to pay for their houses. The value of this effect has already been studied by some authors, with Stated Preference-choice (SP-choice) methods, the hedonic pricing model, or others. The approach used in this study combines traditional methods, namely linear modelling techniques used for quantifying the effect on housing prices fluctuation, with newer methods as the spatial analysis associate d to Geographical Information Systems. There are obvious advantages by using GIS asadding spatial analytical capabilities in terms of increasing its functionality and meeting a demand for systems that do something beyond storing, retrieving and displaying large amounts of information. Thisstudy was developed for the city of Lisbon, Portugal. A geographical database was created combining information from the Census, on the housing characteristics, with renting and sales activities. This study applies two different techniques to identify the relation between traffic noise and the variation on the housing value in Lisbon, and aims to contribute to the scientific knowledge of housing market in Lisbon, with detailed and accurate information on the factors affecting its variation.
Year: 2014
Author(s): Vieira Gomes, S.
Editor: 21ª European Real Estate Society Annual Conference
Keywords: Linear modelling techniques; Housing market; Traffic noise; GIS
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Avaliação da influência da infraestrutura na segurança rodoviária em meio urbano
Neste artigo são apresentadas ferramentas destinadas ao planeamento e gestão das redes viárias que consideram explicitamente a segurança dos utentes vulneráveis. Essas ferramentas referem-se à criação de umabase de dados georreferenciada dos acidentes rodoviários ocorridos em Lisboa entre 2004 e 2007, que permitiu a definição de mapas digitais, com possibilidade de uma grande diversidade de consultas; e ao desenvolvimento de modelos de estimativa de frequência de acidentes para redes urbanas, em função de características do elemento rodoviário, que incorporam dados de exposição de utentes vulneráveis de forma a melhorar a capacidade de estimativa da sinistralidade em redes urbanas.
Year: 2013
Number Pages:
10.
Author(s): Vieira Gomes, S.
Keywords: Segmentos urbanos; Intersecções urbanas; Acidentes rodoviários; Modelos de estimativa de frequência de acidentes; Sig
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Avaliação do impacte sobre a segurança rodoviária de planos de segurança municipais
Neste artigo é apresentado o estudo da avaliação do impacte sobre a segurança rodoviária da implementação de planos de segurança municipais. Este estudo foi desenvolvido num concelho piloto, que já possuía um plano municipal de segurança rodoviária. O seu objectivo centrou-se na avaliação do impacte do conjunto deintervenções de segurança rodoviária previstas para a rede viária do concelho piloto, com a finalidade de ajuizar acerca da viabilidade dos objectivos visados (em termos de indicadores quantitativos) e apoiar as decisões acerca da prioridade e intensidade a atribuir a cada intervenção programada.
Year: 2013
Number Pages:
10.
Author(s): Vieira Gomes, S.; Cardoso, J. L.
Keywords: Medidas correctivas; Acidentes rodoviários; Segurança rodoviária; Planos de segurança municipais
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Caracterização da flutuação do tráfego na cidade de Lisboa
estudos rodoviários. Os custos associados às contagens manuais ou automáticas inviabilizam muitas vezes a adaptação destas técnicas para a caracterização do tráfego, pelo que o recurso a estimativas do valor de Tráfego Médio Diário Anual (TMDA) reveste-se de particular interesse. Este trabalho apresenta uma metodologia expedita para estimar o TMDA na rede viária urbana da cidade de Lisboa através do estabelecimento de factores de ajustamento horários, diários e mensais, com base em dados de tráfego obtidos a partir de sistemas de gestãode tráfego disponíveis na cidade (GERTRUDE e SICIT).
Year: 2013
Number Pages:
10.
Author(s): Brito, J.; Vieira Gomes, S.; Fontul, S.
Keywords: Rede viária urbana de lisboa; Factores de ajustamento; Estimação tmda; Caracterização do tráfego
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How transport policies have been influenced by transport externalities' studies? a comparison study between Portugal and Poland
Transport externalities are an important issue concerning both academic researchers and policy makers. One of the strategic goals of the EU Transport policy, as stated in the Transport White Paper
Year: 2013
Number Pages:
18.
Author(s): Arsénio, E.; Pontes, J.
Editor: AET and contributors
Keywords: Transport policy; Externalities; Transport economics; Cost-benefit analysis
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Moving towards the sustainable city? The role of electric vehicles, renewable energy and energy efficiency
Integrated energy and urban mobility systems are key components for achieving cities
Year: 2013
Number Pages:
12.
Author(s): Prata, J.; Arsénio, E.; Pontes, J.
Editor: Wessex Institute of Technology Press
Keywords: Urban metabolism; City sustainability; Co2 emissions; Transport policy and planning; Energy efficiency; Emerging technologies (electric vehicles)
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Port of Sines Terminal XXI: Which Development Scenarios?
The Port of Sines
Year: 2013
Number Pages:
17.
Author(s): Tao, M.; Ferreira, F.; Arsénio, E.
Editor: AET and contributors
Keywords: Sustainable development; Postpanamax; Panama canal; Rail freight; Freight and logistics; Port of sines; Intermodality; Transport planning and policy
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Impact of multiple imputation of missing socio-economic data in discrete choice analysis
This paper aims to assess the impact of missing income data on estimates of the accuracy of marginal costs of aviation noise externalities, namely missing socio-economic attributes which are normally used to segment the sample for policy purposes. The experimental approach comprised a comparison between the coefficient parameter estimates obtained by fitting multinomial logit models using econometric software to both the complete data set and to data sets where several amounts of income data were replaced by missing values (5%, 10%, 25% and 50%). The latter data sets were analysed employing the two most common methods for missingness: the LD and the Multiple Imputation (MI) method using the expectation-maximization Bayesian bootstrapping algorithm within the Amelia II software program. The most appropriate number of imputations and the set of variables used to obtain the imputations with the MI approach are further investigated. The comparisons will be made through measures of accuracy of parameter estimates and of the combined model.
Year: 2012
Number Pages:
23pp.
Author(s): Arsénio, E.; Azeredo Lopes, S.
Editor: AET and contributors
Keywords: Multiple imputation; Missing income data; Discrete-choice; Aviation externalities
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The influence of the infrastructure characteristics in urban road accidents occurence
The knowledge of factors affecting accident occurrence has been a relevant research area for many decades due to enormous costs to society of road accidents. In Portugal, the developments in this area have focused mainly on inter-urban roads. Urban areas, which are characterized by high percentages of injury accidents (about 69% of the total between 2004 and 2008), require priority attention.This paper summarizes the result of a study which contributes to the improvement of road safety in urban areas, through the creation of tools that can be used in intervention methods in the planning and management of road networks.The first tool relates the creation of a geocoded database of road accident occurred in Lisbon between 2004 and 2007, which allowed the definition of digital maps, with the possibility of a wide range of consultations and crossing of information.The second tool concerns the development of models to estimate the frequency of accidents on urban networks, according to different disagregations: according to the road element: at intersections (three legs, four legs and roundabouts) and in segments; and according to the inclusion of explanatory variables related to the road environment: simplified (only with the exposure variables) and global (with all potential explanatory variables). These two tools can be used directly in the management of road infrastructure providing entities with expertise in road safety with accurate and detailed information about the factors involved in accidents in urban areas and their spatial distribution.
Year: 2012
Author(s): Vieira Gomes, S.
Editor: Transport Research Arena
Keywords: Road network; Spatial analysis; GIS; Accident prediction models
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The contribution of road infrastructure safety interventions to registered safety improvements in the last decade in Portugal
N/A
Year: 2011
Number Pages:
3.
Author(s): Cardoso, J. L.
Editor: Generalna Dyrekcja Drog Krajowych i Autostrad
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Books
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The effect of low cost engineering measures and enforcement on driver behaviour and safety on single carriageway interurban trunk roads. In Advances in Human Aspects of Road and Rail Transportation.
The application of low-cost road and traffic engineering measures (LCEM) is a cost-effective method for reducing accidents and their consequences. Empirical evidence shows that enforcement contributes to improvements on driving behaviour and road safety; however, results from reducing enforcement are seldom presented.In this paper a presentation is made of the impact LCEM and changes in enforcement intensity had on selected driving behaviour variables and safety levels on a 170 km single carriageway trunk road. LCEM were implemented on the road, followed a year later by the commitment of exceptionally intense and severe law enforcement and, after two years, its relaxation. The impacts of these safety interventions were evaluated through observational before-after studies. The expected number of injury accidents was reduced by 41% (less 75% fatalities), when considering the combined effect of LCEM and enforcement; suppression of strict enforcement was related to a 20% increase in the number of fatalities.
Year: 2012
Number Pages:
10.
Author(s): Cardoso, J. L.
Editor: CRC Press Taylor & Francis Group
Keywords: Driving behaviour; Low cost measures; Safety effects
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Application of a gap-graded asphalt rubber wearing course in the rehabilitation of the pavement of a stretch of the national road EN1 located in the north of Portugal - Field and laboratory case study
This case study refers to a successful application of an asphalt rubber wearing course in the frame ofthe rehabilitation of the pavement of the National Road EN 1 between Landiosa and Picoto.It concerns asphalt rubber manufactured by the wet process, using gap-graded aggregates. / O presente caso de estudo refere-se à aplicação bem sucedida de misturas com betume modificadocom borracha reciclada de pneus em camada de desgaste, no âmbito das obras de reabilitação dopavimento da estrada nacional EN 1, entre Landiosa e Picoto.Diz respeito, em particular, ao fabrico, por via húmida, de mistura betuminosa com borrachautilizando agregados com granulometria descontínua.
Year: 2010
Number Pages:
20pp.
Author(s): Batista, F. A.; Antunes, M. L.
Editor: LNEC
Volume:
NS 124
Keywords: Laboratory test; In situ test; National road; Rubber; Recycled materials; Road pavement rehabilitation; Asphaltic road pavement; Asphalt; Pt
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Modos Suaves, Manual de Boas Práticas para uma Mobilidade Sustentável
Manual de boas práticas para uma mobilidade sustentável, no âmbito do projecto nacional "Mobilidade Sustentável" coordenado pela Agência portuguesa do Ambiente (Vol. II). O projecto Mobilidade Sustentável envolveu uma rede de 15 centros de investigação/universidades do país, incluindo o LNEC.
Year: 2010
Number Pages:
274p..
Author(s): Arsénio, E.; Viegas, F.
Editor: Agência Portuguesa do Ambiente (APA)
Volume:
Vol. II.
Keywords: Boas práticas; Portugal; Municípios; Planos de mobilidade; Mobilidade sustentável
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Projecto Mobilidade Sustentável. Concepção, Principais Conclusões e Recomendações
Nesta publicação apresentam-se os aspectos relativos à concepção do projecto Mobilidade Sustentável, principais conclusões e recomendações.
Year: 2010
Number Pages:
80p..
Author(s): Arsénio, E.; Viegas, F.
Editor: Agência Portuguesa do Ambiente (APA)
Volume:
Volume I.
Keywords: Planeamento de transportes; Mobilidade sustentável
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Capítulo de Livro
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Modelos de Duração Aplicados à Engenharia de Transportes
O tempo decorrido (ou a distância percorrida) até à ocorrência de um evento, ou a duração do mesmo, podem ser analisados através de modelos de duração baseados em risco (hazard-based duration models), os quais têm sido amplamente utilizados em campos como a medicina, as ciências sociais e a engenharia industrial. Contudo, são relativamente escassos os estudos que aplicaram modelos de duração à engenharia de transportes.Este capítulo inclui dois exemplos de aplicação de modelos de duração à investigação em engenharia de transportes. O primeiro diz respeito às distâncias percorridas por veículos descontrolados em despistes ocorridos na Carolina do Norte (E.U.A.). O segundo refere-se ao tempo decorrido até à transferência modal nas deslocações para a escola de um conjunto de alunos de 162 turmas de 51 escolas do ensino básico em Portugal.
Year: 2021
Number Pages:
109-124.
Author(s): Roque, C. A.
: Modelação Matemática em Engenharia de Transportes. A Experiência do Departamento de Transportes do LNEC
Keywords: Modelo de duração; Engenharia de transportes
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Modelos de estimativa de frequência de acidentes rodoviários
Em Portugal, a investigação sobre o conhecimento dos fatores que afetam a probabilidade de ocorrência de acidentes tem-se centrado essencialmente nas estradas interurbanas. No entanto, as zonas urbanas, onde ocorrem elevadas percentagens de acidentes corporais requerem uma atenção prioritária. Com o presente estudo pretendeu contribuir-se para a melhoria da segurança rodoviária em meio urbano, através da criação de ferramentas que podem ser utilizadas em métodos de intervenção em que a segurança dos utentes vulneráveis seja considerada explicitamente nas fases de planeamento e gestão das redes viárias. Uma das referidas ferramentas resultou da elaboração de modelos de estimativa de frequência de acidentes para redes urbanas, segundo diversas desagregações, em função de características do elemento rodoviário: em intersecções (três ramos, quatro ramos e rotundas) e em segmentos; segundo o tipo de acidente (atropelamentos e restantes acidentes com vítimas); e segundo a inclusão de variáveis explicativas relacionadas com o ambiente rodoviário: simplificados (apenas com as variáveis de exposição) e globais (com todas as potenciais variáveis explicativas). O desenvolvimento destes modelos foi apoiado numa base de dados georreferenciada dos acidentes rodoviários ocorridos em Lisboa entre 2004 e 2007, com a qual foi possível explorar os dados de sinistralidade na área geográfica em análise. Estas ferramentas podem ser usadas diretamente na gestão das infraestruturas rodoviárias da cidade de Lisboa e, após pequenas adaptações, estendidas a outros municípios, dotando as respetivas entidades competentes em matéria de segurança rodoviária com informação rigorosa e detalhada sobre os fatores intervenientes na ocorrência de acidentes em meio urbano e a respetiva distribuição espacial.
Year: 2021
Number Pages:
71-96pp.
Author(s): Vieira Gomes, S.; Cardoso, J. L.
: Modelação Matemática em Engenharia de Transportes
Editor: LNEC
Keywords: Método empírico de Bayes; Acidentes rodoviários; Modelação linear generalizada; Zonas de acumulação de acidentes; Modelos de estimativa de frequência de acidentes
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Modelos Explicativos da Gravidade dos Acidentes Rodoviários
Os dados discretos ou em escala nominal desempenham um papel fundamental nos transportes porque muitas análises de políticas lidam com estes tipos de dados. Exemplos de dados discretos nos transportes incluem o modo de transporte (automóvel, autocarro, comboio), o tipo ou categoria de veículo e o tipo de acidente rodoviário (despistes, colisões frontais, colisões traseiras, etc.). O conhecimento do efeito das diferentes intervenções de segurança rodoviária na redução da gravidade das lesões resultantes de acidentes rodoviários exige uma avaliação empírica detalhada das interações, reconhecidamente complexas, entre veículos, estrada e fatores humanos.Os avanços mais recentes nas metodologias estatísticas aplicadas a dados discretos sobre sinistralidade rodoviária permitiram o desenvolvimento de modelos sofisticados capazes de serem usados para determinar com rigor a influência dos fatores acima referidos nos níveis de gravidade das lesões resultantes dos acidentes rodoviários.Neste contexto, a aplicação de modelos de resultado discreto permite identificar um conjunto de fatores, relacionados com a envolvente rodoviária, que são estatisticamente relacionáveis com a gravidade das lesões dos utentes envolvidos em acidentes rodoviários, permitindo aperfeiçoar a conceção e o dimensionamento das estradas, bem como orientar políticas conducentes à melhoria da segurança rodoviária. Este capítulo inclui um exemplo de aplicação do modelo logit multinomial usando a gravidade das lesões no condutor como variável de resposta.
Year: 2021
Number Pages:
97-108.
Author(s): Roque, C. A.; Cardoso, J. L.
: Modelação Matemática em Engenharia de Transportes. A Experiência do Departamento de Transportes do LNEC.
Keywords: Acidente rodoviário; Modelo de resultado discreto; Modelo logit multinomial
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A hybrid approach for prioritising road safety interventions in urban areas
Spatial organization in cities has often given a special attention to the requirements of motorized vehicles, neglecting pedestrians and cyclists
Year: 2020
Number Pages:
204-208pp.
Author(s): Vieira Gomes, S.; Roque, C. A.; Cardoso, J. L.
: Proceedings of the XXIV International Conference on Living and Walking in Cities.
Editor: CRC Press, Taylor & Francis Group
Keywords: High crash risk sites; Empirical Bayes method; GIS; Accident prediction models
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The role of sustainable urban mobility plans and ICT to improve public space for social inclusion
The importance of sustainable urban mobility plans is widely recognized by local and regional authorities across Europe. Technological innovation opportunities such as those offered by current and future ICT can contribute for cities to advance towards sustainable mobility and accessibility for inclusive public spaces.This article is built on an innovative living lab experience of the Intermunicipal Community of the Algarve (AMAL), the regional transport authority, scientifically supported by the LNEC, in Portugal, that comprised the development of the designated
Year: 2018
Number Pages:
109-122pp.
Author(s): Arsénio, E.; Coelho, J.
: Neighbourhood & City - Between digital and analogue perspectives
Editor: UL/COST
Keywords: Transport decarbonisation; Low carbon mobility; Accessibility; Transport planning and policies; Public spaces; App; Information and communications technology; Sustainable mobility
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Tese de Doutoramento
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Avaliação da Influência da Infra
O conhecimento dos factores que afectam a probabilidade de ocorrência de um acidente éuma área de investigação relevante de há muitas décadas devido aos enormes custos para asociedade dos acidentes rodoviários. Em Portugal, os desenvolvimentos nesta matériacentraram-se essencialmente nas estradas inter-urbanas. No entanto, as zonas urbanas,caracterizadas por elevadas percentagens de acidentes corporais (cerca de 69% do total entre2004 e 2008), requerem uma atenção prioritária.Com o presente estudo pretendeu contribuir-se para a melhoria da segurança rodoviária emmeio urbano, através da criação de ferramentas que podem ser utilizadas em métodos deintervenção em que a segurança dos utentes vulneráveis seja considerada explicitamente nasfases de planeamento e gestão das redes viárias.A primeira ferramenta correspondeu à criação de uma base de dados georreferenciada dosacidentes rodoviários ocorridos na cidade de Lisboa entre 2004 e 2007, que permitiu adefinição de mapas digitais, com possibilidade de uma grande diversidade de consultas e decruzamentos de informação.A segunda ferramenta refere-se à elaboração de modelos de estimativa de frequência deacidentes para redes urbanas, segundo diversas desagregações: segundo o elementorodoviário: em intersecções (intersecção de três ramos, intersecção de quatro ramos erotundas) e em segmentos; segundo o tipo de acidente: atropelamentos e restantes acidentescom vítimas; e segundo a inclusão de variáveis explicativas relacionadas com o ambienterodoviário: simplificado (apenas com as variáveis de exposição) e global (com todas aspotenciais variáveis explicativas). Foi considerada a incorporação de dados de exposiçãorelativos aos utentes vulneráveis por forma a melhorar a capacidade de estimativa dasinistralidade em redes urbanas.Estas duas ferramentas podem ser usadas directamente na gestão de infra-estruturas, dotandoas entidades com competência em matéria de segurança rodoviária com informação rigorosa edetalhada sobre os factores intervenientes na ocorrência de acidentes em meio urbano erespectiva distribuição espacial.
Year: 2010
Number Pages:
371.
Author(s): Vieira Gomes, S.
Keywords: Sistemas de informação geográficos; Modelos matemáticos; Zona urbana; Segurança rodoviária
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Estudo das Relações entre as Características da Estrada, a Velocidade e os Acidentes Rodoviários. Aplicação a Estradas de Duas Vias e Dois Sentidos.
No período de 1988 a 1993, ocorreram anualmente nas estradas rurais de uma faixa de rodagem e dois sentidos da Rede Rodoviária Nacional de Portugal, em média, cerca de 1471 acidentes corporais anuais em curva fora de cruzamentos. Estes acidentes constituem cerca de 33% dos acidentes corporais fora de cruzamentos participados na referida rede.O objectivo do presente trabalho é contribuir para o conhecimento da influência da estrada na ocorrência de acidentes e para o desenvolvimento de um método para avaliação de traçados rodoviários do ponto de vista da segurança.Foram realizadas in situ campanhas de recolha de dados sobre as distribuições de velocidades dos condutores, os quais foram relacionados com as características geométricas das estradas e com a respectiva sinistralidade. Foram desenvolvidos modelos para estimativa de perfis de velocidade de circulação livre, bem como modelos para estimativa da frequência de acidentes, em estradas de uma faixa de rodagem e dois sentidos, adaptados às condições de tráfego nacionais. Os referidos modelos foram integrados num procedimento para detectar inconsistências de velocidade em especial associadas à ocorrência de acidentes em curva, o qual foi usado para fundamentar uma proposta de quantificação de critérios de homogeneidade de traçado, adaptados à realidade do sistema de tráfego rodoviário português.
Year: 1996
Author(s): Cardoso, J. L.
Keywords: estrada de 2 vias e 2 sentidos; Modelos de frequência de acidentes; Homogeneidade de traçado; Velocidade; Acidente rodoviário; Características da estrada
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Relatório Científico
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ANÁLISE DE RISCO EM TÚNEIS RODOVIÁRIOS O Modelo DG-QRAM
O presente relatório tem como objectivo descrever o estado da prática actual no que se refere àanálise de risco em túneis rodoviários, designadamente no contexto europeu. Pretendeu-seigualmente apresentar o software de avaliação de riscos no transporte de mercadorias perigosas DGQRAM(Dangerous Goods - Quantitative Risk Assessment Model), desenvolvido pela ComissãoTécnica C3.3 do PIARC (World Road Association) em conjunto com a OCDE (Organização para aCooperação e Desenvolvimento Económico), e avaliar a viabilidade da sua aplicação em Portugal.É apresentado o contexto legal e analisado o enquadramento técnico-científico em que se inserem asanálises de risco, designadamente em túneis rodoviários. Descreve-se pormenorizadamente oprograma DG-QRAM, o respectivo funcionamento
Year: 2007
Number Pages:
52pp.
Author(s): Lima Azevedo, C.; Cardoso, J. L.
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Dissemination to the Road Safety Information System. SafetyNet Deliverable D3.4.
Safety performance indicators (SPIs) can be used to improve our understanding of the causes of accidents, and they can be used to monitor policy interventions. In that sense, they are one of the elements of a safety management system. SafetyNet Work Package 3 deals with these indicators. On the basis of the ETSC report 'Transport Safety Performance Indicators' (2001) [1], seven domains for SPIs have been defined: 1. Alcohol and drug-use 2. Speeds 3. Protection systems 4. Daytime running lights 5. Vehicles (passive safety) 6. Roads 7. Trauma management In Work Package 3, seven tasks are defined that work on each of the respective SPI domains. Their findings are communicated through reports, presentations, conferences and a website. This deliverable deals with the communication of findings through the European Road Safety Observatory website (http://www.erso.eu). The report contains those web texts, published on the website, that are adapted from the contents of Deliverable 3.1 from SafetyNet WP3, the State-of-the-art report. The web text focuses on the explanation of the concept of SPIs, and gives background details of two SPI areas: alcohol & drugs, and speeds. In the future new web texts related to the subject of Road Safety Performance Indicators will be added to the ERSO website.
Year: 2006
Author(s): Hafen, K.; Hasse, A.; Allenbach, R.; Riguelle, F.; Verbeke, T.; Eksler, V.; Haddak, M.; Holló, P.; Arsénio, E.; Cardoso, J. L.; Vieira Gomes, S.; Papadimitriou, E.; Goldenbeld, C.; Mathijssen, R.; Lou
Keywords: European Road Safety Observatory; safety management system; Road safety; Safety performance indicators
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Road Safety Performance Indicators: Country Comparisons. SafetyNet Deliverable D3.7a
This report compares the safety performance of 27 European countries
Year: 2006
Author(s): Hafen, K.; Riguelle, F.; Eksler, V.; Haddak, M.; Holló, P.; Arsénio, E.; Cardoso, J. L.; Vieira Gomes, S.; Papadimitriou, E.; Amelink, M.; Goldenbeld, C.; Mathijssen, R.; Louwerse, R.; Morsink, P.; Sc
Keywords: Data collection; Country comparisons; Road safety; Safety performance indicator
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Road Safety Performance Indicators: Theory. SafetyNet Deliverable D3.6
This document provides details about the theory behind the development of Safety Performance Indicators (SPIs) in seven major areas which are central to the fields of activity in road safety in Europe. The fields of activity were selected as a result of reviews of national road safety plans in many of the EU countries and around the world and are considered the central themes of activity in road safety, necessary to bring about a significant improvement in road safety in the EU countries. Within each field SPIs were developed which are directly related to that field of activity, can be quantitatively measured, can provide the basis for the assessment of the level of road safety in each country and can serve as an indicator to describe the level of activity in that field and country and can provide a yardstick for comparison. Comparisons can be before and after certain actions are taken or can be comparisons between countries. As stated above, this document deals with the theory behind the development of each of the seven SPIs. It provides the rationale behind their development, the proofs for their relevance in the specific fields and the existing limitations that led to the adoption of the specific SPIs. The document provides also some recommendations for the possible improvements required to obtain better SPIs. Two companion documents are also being prepared. One is a manual which provides details on the procedures necessary to collects the required data for the development of each SPI in each country. The second document provides results on the data collected so far for each of the 25 EU countries and the SPIs developed so far, based on the data submitted by each of the countries. It can be seen that a lot of work still has to be done, both in collecting the necessary data and in improving the SPIs, once better and more detailed data becomes available.
Year: 2006
Author(s): Hafen, K.; Hasse, A.; Lerner, M.; Allenbach, R.; Riguelle, F.; Eksler, V.; Striegler, R.; Haddak, M.; Holló, P.; Arsénio, E.; Cardoso, J. L.; Vieira Gomes, S.; Papadimitriou, E.; Amelink, M.; Goldenbe
Keywords: Data collection; Road safety; Safety performance indicator
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Safety Performance Indicators: posters for the first SafetyNet Conference
Work Package 3 of SafetyNet deals with Safety Performance Indicators. They measure the operational conditions of the road traffic system. Work Package 3 deals with seven topics: alcohol and drug use; speeds; protective systems; daytime running lights; vehicles; road; trauma management. This deliverable concerns the contribution of Work Package 3 to the first SafetyNet conference, which was held in Prague on May 10 and 11, 2006. Each topic prepared a poster with an overview of the state-of-play. In this document, these posters are assembled. Each topic has a preferred indicator, which can be used for measuring safety performance across countries. This indicator is accompanied by requirements that should be met by the data, in order to be able to calculate the indicator. For most tasks, values could be calculated for the indicators by using the available data. Data are not available for all countries and/or all topics.
Year: 2006
Author(s): Hafen, K.; Hasse, A.; Allenbach, R.; Riguelle, F.; Verbeke, T.; Eksler, V.; Haddak, M.; Holló, P.; Arsénio, E.; Cardoso, J. L.; Vieira Gomes, S.; Papadimitriou, E.; Goldenbeld, C.; Mathijssen, R.; Lou
Keywords: SafetyNet conference; road traffic system; Safety performance indicator
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A comparative study of the development of road safety in Catalonia, Spain, Portugal and Greece.
This report is one of three area reports that examine the road safety performance of the nine countries participating in the SUNflowerplus project. This area report compares the road safety situation of the Southern countries of Greece, Portugal and Spain (including a separate analysis for the Spanish autonomous region of Catalonia).The aim of this report is to identify the major road traffic risk differences between Southern European countries based upon a comparative approach initially applied by the SUN (Sweden, United Kingdom & the Netherlands) countries, and focussed on the analysis of fatalities by users of different modes of road transport.The method for comparing the Southern countries has been developed from that of the original SUNflower report (SWOV, 2002), and is reflected in the organisation of the chapters:- Description of national policy and plans. - Description of the transport context.- Fatalities by road user mode and collisions between modes.- Case studies for: drink-driving, seat belts, young drivers, speed management, pedestrians, mopeds and motorcycles.In some cases (for example, young drivers and pedestrians), the indicators used to compare the situation in the Southern countries are common to those reported in the SUN and Central areas. In other cases (for example, speed management) the situations are very different and there is less scope for comparison.SUNflower+6 compares statistics for road fatalities in terms of fatalities within 30 days of the accident. In all three Southern countries, the figures are based on national factors applied to police data recording deaths within 24 hours. In producing indicators, various efforts to improve data systems have been detected. In general, a greater use of information and communications technologies could improve the process of data registration as well as facilitating improved analysis.All three countries (and the autonomous region of Catalonia) have published a plan covering a period of three or more years (including the current year of 2005) that sets quantified targets for a reduction in the number of road accident fatalities. Such progress in road safety planning is a relatively new aspect of road safety activity in the Southern countries studied. The targeted reductions for Portugal are even more ambitious than those of the EU White Policy paper proposing a halving in road deaths by 2010, whilst those for Spain and Catalonia are in line with the European overall projection and those for Greece are more modest.
Year: 2005
Author(s): Hayes, S.; Serrano, S.; Giralt, L. P.; Zori, P.; Handanos, Y.; Lymperi, C.; Katsochis, D.; Macedo, A. L.; Cardoso, J. L.; Vieira Gomes, S.
Keywords: injury; traffic; policy; Road safety
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State of the art Report on Road Safety Performance Indicators.
GeneralRoad safety can be assessed in terms of the social costs of crashes and injuries. However, simply counting crashes or injuries is an imperfect indicator of the level of road safety. When crashes occur it is the
Year: 2005
Author(s): Hafen, K.; Lerner, M.; Allenbach, R.; Verbeke, T.; Eksler, V.; Haddak, M.; Holló, P.; Arsénio, E.; Cardoso, J. L.; Vieira Gomes, S.; Papadimitriou, E.; Amelink, M.; Goldenbeld, C.; Mathijssen, R.; Lou
Keywords: Safety performance Indicators; Road safety
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SUNFLOWER+6. Southern Group. Case Study on Pedestrians
The SUNflower+6 project is based on a comparative study regarding road safety in nine countries and one autonomous region from the EU. These countries are divided into three groups: -
Year: 2005
Author(s): Macedo, A. L.; Vieira Gomes, S.; Cardoso, J. L.; Handanos, Y.; Katsochis, D.; Serrano, S.; Zori, P.; Hayes, S.
Keywords: Pedestrians; Road user; Fatality; Injury; Policy; Road safety
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ICT
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Audit de sécurité routière au projet de routes du réseau routier national
Ce document est la traduction en langue française du manuel destiné à appuyer la mise en oeuvre d'audits de sécurité routière au projet d
Year: 2018
Author(s): Cardoso, J. L.
Keywords: PT; La sécurité routière; Manuel; Audit; Projet routier
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Estado-da-arte sobre medidas de engenharia de segurança rodoviária em ambiente urbano e sobre modelos de estimativa da frequência de acidentes - Resultados do projecto IRUMS
O presente documento constitui o primeiro relatório referente à actividadedesenvolvida pelo Laboratório Nacional de Engenharia Civil (LNEC) e pela Faculdadede Ciências e Tecnologias da Universidade de Coimbra (FCT/UC) no âmbito doprojecto IRUMS
Year: 2011
Number Pages:
152pp.
Author(s): Vieira Gomes, S.; Cardoso, J. L.; Carvalheira, C.; Picado Santos, L.
Editor: LNEC
Keywords: Previsão estatística; Modelo estatístico; Acidente rodoviário; Área urbana; Segurança rodoviária
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Método para intervenção na infra-estrutura rodoviária urbana para melhoria da segurança - Resultados do projecto IRUMS
O presente documento constitui o quinto relatório referente à actividade desenvolvidapelo Laboratório Nacional de Engenharia Civil (LNEC) e pela Faculdade de Ciências eTecnologias da Universidade de Coimbra (FCT/UC) no âmbito do projecto IRUMS
Year: 2011
Number Pages:
51pp.
Author(s): Vieira Gomes, S.; Cardoso, J. L.; Carvalheira, C.; Picado Santos, L.
Editor: LNEC
Keywords: Análise de dados; Modelo estatístico; Acidente rodoviário; Segurança rodoviária; Área urbana; Infra-estrutura rodoviária
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Accident prediction models for bidirectional data on portuguese motorways
The present document describes prediction models for accident, fatalities,serious injuries and killed and seriously injured victims, adjusted to bidirectionaldata of Portuguese motorway sections. The study was developed at LaboratórioNacional de Engenharia Civil (LNEC) in the scope of Workpackage 2 - SafetyImpact Assessment and Accident Prediction Model of the RIPCORD-ISERESTproject, carried out under the 6th European Framework Program. It covers theissues related to modeling accidents using the Negative Binomial modelregressions as well as detailed diagnostic checks of the models obtained.The data used were collected over a five year period, ranging from 1999 to2003. Several explanatory variables were measured concerning exposure,number of lanes, presence of an additional lane, lane widths, type and widths ofthe road
Year: 2009
Number Pages:
153pp.
Author(s): Lopes, S.; Cardoso, J. L.
Editor: LNEC
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Benchmarking road safety in Latin American countries
The main objective of the project was the benchmarking of road safety performances and developments of ten Latin American countries.The comparison allowed to identify the similarities and differences between countries, not only on the number of crashes and casualties, but also on the factors, circumstances and events that influence the risk of a crash and the severity of its outcome. The analysis was performed in the following areas
Year: 2018
Author(s): Vieira Gomes, S.; Feypell, V.; Wegman, F.
Keywords: Data collection; Latin America; Benchmarking; Road safety
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Document organisationnel du système de comptage. Document descriptif des besoins
Neste relatório é proposta a estrutura organizacional para realização das contagens tendentes ao recenseamento de tráfego rodoviário na rede de estradas interubanas da Argélia, incluindo o dimensionamento do parque de equipamento de contagem a usar, sua configuração (cntagens permanentes e temporárias), bem como a avaliação dos prazos de realização, em função da dimensão das equipas encarregadas da colocação e exploração dos equipamentos nos trechos da rede rodoviária.
Year: 2017
Author(s): Rème, A.; Courbon, T.; Robin, V.; Cardoso, J. L.
Keywords: Rede rodoviária; Tráfego rodoviário
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Transport Challenge in Horizon 2020. ECTRI suggestions for the third work programme (2018-2020) in the field of "Transport economics and policy"
The European Conference of Transport Research Institutes (ECTRI) is an international non
Year: 2016
Author(s): Arsénio, E.; Heddebaut, O.; Tuominen, A.
Keywords: Connected and automated transport; Socio-economic research; Low carbon transport; Behavioural research; Transport policies; Transport economics; Integrated transport; Green transport; Smart transport; Horizon 2020
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Assessment of intermodal freight transport costs
The research reported in this paper is part of the R&D project COST-TRENDs, funded by the Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology. It presents a strategic assessment study of the hinterland connections centred in the Port of Sines, in Portugal, that integrates the core network corridor of the Trans-European Transport Network (TEN-T) designated as the Atlantic corridor. The study comprised the analysis of trends of maritime freight costs until 2020 and the assessment of alternative intermodal freight transport options to reduce costs along the multimodal transport chains. The options evaluated focused in the Iberian section of the Atlantic corridor and included the combination of maritime-short sea shipping, maritime-rail, maritime-road and, also, rail-air modes. The study estimated several key performance indicators for each option which aim to provide useful inputs to transport policy.
Year: 2014
Number Pages:
16pp.
Author(s): Prata, J.; Arsénio, E.
Keywords: Freight transport costs; Co2 emissions; Climate change externalities; Intermodal freight transport
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How to Promote Sustainable Land-Use Changes Through Developing Intermodal High-Speed Railway Stations: a case study in Portugal
The literature shows that the development of the railway system in most European countries had a key role both in the evolution of urban systems and regional dynamics. On the other hand, it can be said that railway stations might act as important drivers for promoting sustainable land-use changes, namely of node and place functions which can be consistently balanced.The future Portuguese High-Speed Railway (HSR) network is considered as a major strategic transport scheme at both the Iberian and national levels. Its first stage comprises three routes. Of these, one links the Lisbon Metropolitan Area with the Spanish border of Badajoz, being an integral part of the HSR between both Iberian capitals, whereas the other two form the Atlantic Axis, encompassing a system of cities ranging from Lisbon to Porto, an from the latter point to Braga, Vigo and Coruña, concentrating nearly 80% of the whole Portuguese population, and serving an area generating about 90% of Portugal
Year: 2010
Number Pages:
30p..
Author(s): Arsénio, E.; Tao, M.; Ferreira, F.
Editor: PTRC, UK
Keywords: Stated-choice survey; Discrete choice models; Territorial impacts; Intermodality; High-speed rail
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