Artigos de Revista
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Sustainable urban mobility plans:bridging climate change and equity targets?
The European Commission (EC) introduced the concept of Sustainable Urban Mobility Plans (SUMPs) as a new planning paradigm with a focus on people
Ano: 2016
Número Páginas:
22p.
Autor(es): Arsénio, E.; Martens, K.; Di Ciommo, F.
Revista: Research in Transportation Economics
Editor: Elsevier
Volume:
462.
Keywords: Urban transport policy; Equity in transport; Sustainable urban mobility plans; Climate change
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A ESTIMATIVA DE FREQUÊNCIAS ESPERADAS DE ACIDENTES NA IDENTIFICAÇÃO DE ZONAS DE ACUMULAÇÃO DE ACIDENTES
Neste artigo são apresentadas ferramentas destinadas ao planeamento e gestão das redes viárias que consideram explicitamente a segurança dos utentes vulneráveis. Essas ferramentas referem-se à criação de uma base de dados georreferenciada dos acidentes rodoviários ocorridos em Lisboa entre 2004 e 2007, que permitiu a definição de mapas digitais, com possibilidade de uma grande diversidade de consultas; ao desenvolvimento de modelos de estimativa de frequência de acidentes para redes urbanas, em função de características do elemento rodoviário, que incorporam dados de exposição de utentes vulneráveis de forma a melhorar a capacidade de estimativa da sinistralidade em redes urbanas e á sua aplicação na identificação de zonas de acumulação de acidentes.
Ano: 2015
Autor(es): Vieira Gomes, S.
Revista: Revista Portuguesa de Sinalização
Editor: AFESP
Volume:
Número 6.
Keywords: Segmentos urbanos; Intersecções urbanas; Acidentes rodoviários; Modelação linear generalizada; Modelos de edtimativa de frequência de acidentes; SIG
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Dealing with uncertainty in detailed calibration of traffic simulation models for safety assessment
With the increasing level of detail of traffic simulation models, the need for a consistent understanding of simulators
Ano: 2015
Número Páginas:
395-412.
Autor(es): Lima Azevedo, C.; Ciuffo, B.; Cardoso, J. L.; Ben-Akiva, M.
Revista: Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies
Editor: Elsevier
Volume:
58.
Keywords: Calibration; Uncertainty management; Traffic simulation; Road Safety
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Detecting unforgiving roadside contributors through the severity analysis of ran-off-road crashes
The objective of this paper is to study the contributors influencing ran-off-road (ROR) crash severities in a setting that has not been analysed in the literature, namely on freeways not designed according to the
Ano: 2015
Número Páginas:
262-273pp..
Autor(es): Roque, C. A.; Moura, F.; Cardoso, J. L.
Revista: Accident Analysis and Prevention
Editor: Elsevier
Volume:
80.
Keywords: Portuguese freeways; Forgiving roadside; Mixed logit; Multinomial logit; Ran-off-road crash; Crash severity models
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Driving societal changes towards an electromobility future.
This article is part of the topical collection on "Driving societal changes towards an electro-mobility future".
Ano: 2015
Número Páginas:
7-37pp..
Autor(es): Coppola, P.; Arsénio, E.
Revista: European Transport Research Review
Editor: Springer
Keywords: Transport costs; European transport policy; Transport planning; Greenhouse gas emissions; Plug-in hybrid vehicles; Battery electric vehicles; Societal changes; Electromobility
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SAFESIDE: A computer-aided procedure for integrating benefits and costs in roadside safety intervention decision making
Collisions with dangerous roadside obstacles and rollovers are responsible for many injuries and deaths in highways worldwide. International crash data indicate that roadside characteristics contribute to more than half of all run-off-road injury crashes (RORIC) involving serious injury or death. Furthermore, roadside geometric characteristics are believed to be the leading cause of rollover in single-vehicle RORIC. Differences in each country
Ano: 2015
Número Páginas:
195-205 pp.
Autor(es): Roque, C. A.; Cardoso, J. L.
Revista: Safety Science
Editor: Elsevier
Volume:
Volume 74.
Keywords: Crash modification factors; Crash prediction models; Software; Cost
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Setting a city strategy for low carbon emissions: the role of electric vehicles, renewable energy and energy efficiency.
One of the European policy objectives, as envisaged by the EC Transport White Paper, is to reduce Europe's dependence on imported oil and to cut greenhouse gas emission (GHG) from transport by 20% by 2030 and by 70% until 2050 (with respect to 2008 levels). For achieving this goal, the role of integrated energy and urban mobility systems are explored as part of a city
Ano: 2015
Número Páginas:
190-202 pp..
Autor(es): Prata, J.; Arsénio, E.; Pontes, J.
Revista: International Journal of Sustainable Development and Planning
Editor: WIT Press
Volume:
volume 2, number 2.
Keywords: Battery electric vehicles; Electric bicycles; Traffic calming measures; Climate change costs; CO2 emissions; European transport policy and planning; Energy efficiency; Renewable energy
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Automatic vehicle trajectory extraction by aerial remote sensing
Research in road users
Ano: 2014
Número Páginas:
849-858.
Autor(es): Lima Azevedo, C.; Cardoso, J. L.; Ben-Akiva, M.; Costeira, J.; Marques, M.
Revista: Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences
Editor: Elsevier
Volume:
111.
Keywords: remote sensing; Driving behaviour; Vehicle trajectories extraction
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Equity in Public Transport: An intractable policy problem or a set of methodological challenges?
Equity inclusion in transport policy and planning remains a complex and, often, it is considered an intractable problem. Indeed, addressing equity in transport decision making will require a multi-dimensional perspective in a dynamic socio-technical and political environments, where territorial and time variables play a role.Although all transport actions (programs, plans and projects) have equity impacts, the ex ante equity assessment of transport investments is rarely done in practice. As such, the distribution of transport impacts (benefits and costs) is often perceived as unfair across the population/territory (vertical and spatial equity issues), specially when transport investments exclude several groups (non-drivers, people with disabilities, lower-income, non-motorized users such as cyclists and pedestrians, etc.). On the other hand, policy makers claim for horizontal equity in public policies and, therefore, road transport users shall pay for the costs of infrastructures
Ano: 2014
Número Páginas:
16.
Autor(es): Arsénio, E.
Editor: Universidade de Cantabria
Keywords: Cost action tu1209; Transport planning; Transport economics and policies; Equity analysis; Accessibility; Public transport
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Investigating the relationship between run-off-the-road crash frequency and traffic flow through different functional forms
Crash prediction models play a major role in highway safety analysis. These models can be used for various purposes, such as predicting the number of road crashes or establishing relationships between these crashes and different covariates. However, the appropriate choice for the functional form of these models is generally not discussed in research literature on road safety. In case of run-off-the-road crashes, empirical evidence and logical considerations lead to conclusion that the relationship between expected frequency and traffic flow is not monotonously increasing.
Ano: 2014
Número Páginas:
121
Autor(es): Roque, C. A.; Cardoso, J. L.
Revista: Accident Analysis & Prevention
Editor: Elsevier
Volume:
Volume 63.
Keywords: Confidence intervals; Functional form; Run-off-the-road crash; Crash prediction models
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Comunicações
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Impact of multiple imputation of missing socio-economic data in discrete choice analysis
This paper aims to assess the impact of missing income data on estimates of the accuracy of marginal costs of aviation noise externalities, namely missing socio-economic attributes which are normally used to segment the sample for policy purposes. The experimental approach comprised a comparison between the coefficient parameter estimates obtained by fitting multinomial logit models using econometric software to both the complete data set and to data sets where several amounts of income data were replaced by missing values (5%, 10%, 25% and 50%). The latter data sets were analysed employing the two most common methods for missingness: the LD and the Multiple Imputation (MI) method using the expectation-maximization Bayesian bootstrapping algorithm within the Amelia II software program. The most appropriate number of imputations and the set of variables used to obtain the imputations with the MI approach are further investigated. The comparisons will be made through measures of accuracy of parameter estimates and of the combined model.
Ano: 2012
Número Páginas:
23pp.
Autor(es): Arsénio, E.; Azeredo Lopes, S.
Editor: AET and contributors
Keywords: Multiple imputation; Missing income data; Discrete-choice; Aviation externalities
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The influence of the infrastructure characteristics in urban road accidents occurence
The knowledge of factors affecting accident occurrence has been a relevant research area for many decades due to enormous costs to society of road accidents. In Portugal, the developments in this area have focused mainly on inter-urban roads. Urban areas, which are characterized by high percentages of injury accidents (about 69% of the total between 2004 and 2008), require priority attention.This paper summarizes the result of a study which contributes to the improvement of road safety in urban areas, through the creation of tools that can be used in intervention methods in the planning and management of road networks.The first tool relates the creation of a geocoded database of road accident occurred in Lisbon between 2004 and 2007, which allowed the definition of digital maps, with the possibility of a wide range of consultations and crossing of information.The second tool concerns the development of models to estimate the frequency of accidents on urban networks, according to different disagregations: according to the road element: at intersections (three legs, four legs and roundabouts) and in segments; and according to the inclusion of explanatory variables related to the road environment: simplified (only with the exposure variables) and global (with all potential explanatory variables). These two tools can be used directly in the management of road infrastructure providing entities with expertise in road safety with accurate and detailed information about the factors involved in accidents in urban areas and their spatial distribution.
Ano: 2012
Autor(es): Vieira Gomes, S.
Editor: Transport Research Arena
Keywords: Road network; Spatial analysis; GIS; Accident prediction models
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The contribution of road infrastructure safety interventions to registered safety improvements in the last decade in Portugal
N/A
Ano: 2011
Número Páginas:
3.
Autor(es): Cardoso, J. L.
Editor: Generalna Dyrekcja Drog Krajowych i Autostrad
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A Avaliação Económica dos Impactos dos Transportes
A Economia dos Transportes e do Ambiente constituem bases para a fundamentação teórica dos métodos de avaliação económica de impactos ambientais dos transportes. Todavia, ainda não existem recomendações sobre qual a metodologia de avaliação económica a utilizar na monetarização dos vários impactos. Neste contexto, são várias as questões em investigação, tendo como objectivo contribuir para a melhoria da eficiência da avaliação ambiental estratégica de planos e programas de transporte:- O conhecimento actual permite que todos os impactos dos transportes possam ser monetarizados de igual forma?- Que tipos de impactos devem ser considerados na avaliação ambiental estratégica no sector dos transportes? - Que métodos de avaliação podem ser recomendados para cada impacto?- Quais os futuros desafios em matéria da avaliação ambiental estratégica de planos e programas de transportes?Será abordado o caso dos custos externos ambientais do ruído de tráfego aéreo.
Ano: 2010
Número Páginas:
8 p..
Autor(es): Arsénio, E.
Editor: Rede de Língua Portuguesa de Avaliação de Impactos
Keywords: Custos externos; Avaliação ambiental estratégica; Transportes
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Comparative Safety Analysis of a Two-Lane Two-Way Major Highway, Using IHSDM and a Portuguese Procedure
The Interactive Highway Safety Design Model (IHSDM) is a software tool for evaluating safety and operational effects of alternatives in highway projects, which is available through the US Federal Highway Administration (FHWA). IHSDM can be applied in the design of new highways and in the major redesign of existing highways. The software contains five modules, intended for the evaluation of measures describing relevant aspects of the expected safety and operational performance of a highway design. Three of these modules are potentially relevant for use outside the US: the Crash Prediction Module, the Design Consistency Module, and the Traffic Analysis Module.A procedure for the detection of inconsistent horizontal curves in single carriageway rural roads of the National Road Network and the improvement of their safety records was developed at the National Laboratory of Civil Engineering (LNEC) for application in Portugal, using driver behaviour and safety data collected in the national context. The procedure may be applied automatically using the dedicated software PERVEL
Ano: 2010
Número Páginas:
12.
Autor(es): Cardoso, J. L.; Lima Azevedo, C.; Lisboa Santos, J.
Editor: Editorial Universitat Politécnica de Valência
Keywords: Design consistency; Road safety
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In-depth investigation and reconstruction of bus accidents: lessons from a 17 fatalities accident
Bus accidents involving rollover are rare but may lead to severe consequences. On the 15th November 2007, at late afternoon, a major accident involving a passenger car and an interurban bus occurred in a motorway in Portugal, resulting in 17 fatalities and 23 serious injuries. Public interest in this accident was magnified and social consequences were aggravated due to the fact that the bus was carrying a study tour of students from a senior university.Following a careful at scene data collection by enforcement agents, the Public Attorney-General decided to establish a multidisciplinary team in charge of reconstructing the accident, finding the manoeuvres involved and explain the contribution of road elements, vehicles and each driver in the mechanisms that produced both the accident and its injuries. This team involved participants from the BT-GNR, (the highway police), the Technical University of Lisbon (IDMEC-IST) and the Portuguese National Laboratory of Civil Engineering (LNEC).It was concluded that the accident started with the car loss of control, followed by its side collision twice with the bus (first with the rear axle, and secondly with the front axle); then, both vehicles ran-off-the-road to the right side of the carriageway, crossed the existing guardrail at the end of the paved shoulder and invaded the steep slope embankment; the car stopped at the bottom of the slope in the ditch. While travelling in the roadside; the bus overturned, resulting in its body failure and the projection of several passengers.Computational simulation tools such as PC-Crash were used to reconstruct the accident. Also Madymo is used to analyse the behaviour of the occupants and to evaluate the injuries of the unbelted passengers as compared with what would have happened if they were effectively restrained by two point belts. Also simulations with three point belts were carried out to evaluate the effect of this improved restraint system under rollover conditions.No serious offences by any driver were detected, as the car was travelling at 120 km/h (the bus at 90 km/h) and both vehicles were in their respective lanes. A definitive explanation for the car driver
Ano: 2010
Número Páginas:
11.
Autor(es): Dias, J. P.; Cardoso, J. L.; Teodora, L.; Leal, A.
Editor: European Association for Accident Research and Analysis
Keywords: In-depth accident investigation; Biomechanics; Accident reconstruction; Bus rollover
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The role of automatic speed limit enforcement in speed management in Portugal
Excessive speeds are a major contributing factor for road accidents. Research has shown that both accident risk and injury severity resulting from accidents vary with speed due to physical reasons and to psycho-physiological effects on road users; relations between these factors have been found at the individual and the system levels.Most road safety plans include speed management as a tool for mitigating road crash consequences and reaching the targeted safety levels. In that perspective the Portuguese Road Safety Plan is no exception, and an integrated set of safety interventions is programmed and being implemented, including legislation update, road infrastructure improvements, information campaigns, the use of ITS and enforcement activities.Automatic systems have been successfully used for enforcing compliance with speed limits in several countries, resulting in lower prevalence of excessive speeds and safety improvements in the vicinity of their installation sites. The investments for the implementation of these systems consistently show favourable benefit-cost ratios, provided the installation sites are carefully selected. In fact, automatic speed enforcement was identified as a road safety best practice in SUPREME, a 6th Framework European research project, in which best practices in road safety were collected, analysed and summarised. However, in some countries, social resistance to this type of devices may arise, if misunderstandings are allowed to develop about their main function.In this paper a presentation is made of the technical criteria being applied in Portugal for the selection of eligible sites for installation of automatic speed enforcement and for monitoring its safety effects. Also, a brief description is made of the related activity being taken within the Portuguese Road Safety Plan to ensure the needed social acceptability of this safety intervention.
Ano: 2010
Número Páginas:
6p.
Autor(es): Cardoso, J. L.
Editor: International Road Federation
Keywords: Speed; Road safety
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Distribuição de acidentes rodoviários por tipo de pavimento na cidade de Lisboa
Segundo as estatísticas nacionais, uma elevada percentagem de acidentes e vítimas ocorre em zonas urbanas: entre 2004 e 2006, 70% dos acidentes com vítimas e 44% das vítimas mortais ocorreu nestas áreas. As características das redes rodoviárias urbanas, nomeadamente o tipo de pavimento, constituem factores importantes nas condições de circulação dos veículos e consequentemente na ocorrência de acidentes. No âmbito do projecto IRUMS Infra-estruturas Rodoviárias Urbanas Mais Seguras, realizado em parceria pelo Laboratório Nacional de Engenharia Civil e pelo Departamento de Engenharia Civil da Universidade de Coimbra, foi estruturada uma base de dados de acidentes associada a um sistema de informação geográfica. Esta associação permite uma análise conjunta dos potenciais factores com influência no nível de sinistralidade, entre os quais o tipo de pavimento rodoviário e os volumes de tráfego. Nesta comunicação apresenta-se o resultado da análise da distribuição de acidentes para a cidade de Lisboa bem como as estimativas de taxas de acidentes, considerando os volumes de tráfego como indicador de exposição, por tipo de pavimento.
Ano: 2009
Número Páginas:
10p.
Autor(es): Vieira Gomes, S.; Carvalheira, C.; Cardoso, J. L.; Santos, L. P.
Keywords: Lisboa; Pavimento; Acidente rodoviário; Sig
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Distribuição de acidentes Rodoviários por tipo de pavimento na cidade de Lisboa
Segundo as estatísticas nacionais, uma elevada percentagem de acidentes e vítimas ocorre em zonas urbanas: entre 2004 e 2006, 70% dos acidentes com vítimas e 44% das vítimas mortais ocorreu nestas áreas. As características das redes rodoviárias urbanas, nomeadamente o tipo de pavimento, constituem factores importantes nas condições de circulação dos veículos e consequentemente na ocorrência de acidentes. No âmbito do projecto
Ano: 2009
Autor(es): Vieira Gomes, S.; Carvalheira, C.; Cardoso, J. L.; Picado Santos, L.
Editor: XV Congresso Ibero-Latinoamericano do Asfalto
Keywords: SIG; Pavimento; Acidentes rodoviários; Lisboa
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Estimation of Annual Traffic Volumes - A Model for Portugal
The automobile characteristics in terms of the flexibility of practicable distances, comfort and time schedule autonomy have made it the most demanded mode of transportation. In face of the negative impacts associated with road transportation such as congestion, pollution and road accidents, the quantification of the regular and diversified use of the automobile has become a clear need of our society. The amount of travel in a road network, or in part of it, may be represented by the traffic volume (usually expressed in vehicle kilometres/miles of travel
Ano: 2009
Número Páginas:
14p.
Autor(es): Lima Azevedo, C.; Cardoso, J. L.
Editor: ECTRI - European Conference of Transport Research Studies
Keywords: Vkt; Traffic volume
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Livros
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The effect of low cost engineering measures and enforcement on driver behaviour and safety on single carriageway interurban trunk roads. In Advances in Human Aspects of Road and Rail Transportation.
The application of low-cost road and traffic engineering measures (LCEM) is a cost-effective method for reducing accidents and their consequences. Empirical evidence shows that enforcement contributes to improvements on driving behaviour and road safety; however, results from reducing enforcement are seldom presented.In this paper a presentation is made of the impact LCEM and changes in enforcement intensity had on selected driving behaviour variables and safety levels on a 170 km single carriageway trunk road. LCEM were implemented on the road, followed a year later by the commitment of exceptionally intense and severe law enforcement and, after two years, its relaxation. The impacts of these safety interventions were evaluated through observational before-after studies. The expected number of injury accidents was reduced by 41% (less 75% fatalities), when considering the combined effect of LCEM and enforcement; suppression of strict enforcement was related to a 20% increase in the number of fatalities.
Ano: 2012
Número Páginas:
10.
Autor(es): Cardoso, J. L.
Editor: CRC Press Taylor & Francis Group
Keywords: Driving behaviour; Low cost measures; Safety effects
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Application of a gap-graded asphalt rubber wearing course in the rehabilitation of the pavement of a stretch of the national road EN1 located in the north of Portugal - Field and laboratory case study
This case study refers to a successful application of an asphalt rubber wearing course in the frame ofthe rehabilitation of the pavement of the National Road EN 1 between Landiosa and Picoto.It concerns asphalt rubber manufactured by the wet process, using gap-graded aggregates. / O presente caso de estudo refere-se à aplicação bem sucedida de misturas com betume modificadocom borracha reciclada de pneus em camada de desgaste, no âmbito das obras de reabilitação dopavimento da estrada nacional EN 1, entre Landiosa e Picoto.Diz respeito, em particular, ao fabrico, por via húmida, de mistura betuminosa com borrachautilizando agregados com granulometria descontínua.
Ano: 2010
Número Páginas:
20pp.
Autor(es): Batista, F. A.; Antunes, M. L.
Editor: LNEC
Volume:
NS 124
Keywords: Laboratory test; In situ test; National road; Rubber; Recycled materials; Road pavement rehabilitation; Asphaltic road pavement; Asphalt; Pt
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Modos Suaves, Manual de Boas Práticas para uma Mobilidade Sustentável
Manual de boas práticas para uma mobilidade sustentável, no âmbito do projecto nacional "Mobilidade Sustentável" coordenado pela Agência portuguesa do Ambiente (Vol. II). O projecto Mobilidade Sustentável envolveu uma rede de 15 centros de investigação/universidades do país, incluindo o LNEC.
Ano: 2010
Número Páginas:
274p..
Autor(es): Arsénio, E.; Viegas, F.
Editor: Agência Portuguesa do Ambiente (APA)
Volume:
Vol. II.
Keywords: Boas práticas; Portugal; Municípios; Planos de mobilidade; Mobilidade sustentável
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Projecto Mobilidade Sustentável. Concepção, Principais Conclusões e Recomendações
Nesta publicação apresentam-se os aspectos relativos à concepção do projecto Mobilidade Sustentável, principais conclusões e recomendações.
Ano: 2010
Número Páginas:
80p..
Autor(es): Arsénio, E.; Viegas, F.
Editor: Agência Portuguesa do Ambiente (APA)
Volume:
Volume I.
Keywords: Planeamento de transportes; Mobilidade sustentável
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Capítulos de Livros
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Intelligent Traffic Monitoring Systems
Traffic management is gaining increasing importance in solving the major problem of traffic congestion present in many countries. Traditional techniques of RADAR, LIDAR and LASAR to address this problem are no longer an efficient solution, as they are time-consuming and expensive. In this modern age of growing technology and population, challenges are being overcome with several new ways to make the traffic system smarter, more reliable and robust, considering the overall interaction of all the traffic components: vehicles, drivers and pedestrians. These systems are largely supported on Intelligent Traffic System (ITS), and their applications are mostly dedicated to traffic monitoring based on video processing, vehicle detection and tracking. Intelligent surveillance systems may also employ computer vision and pattern recognition techniques. This chapter addresses these new solutions that are being used for traffic management, their advantages and disadvantages, the challenges of their implementation, and most important, the ability to support traffic management systems in their pursuit of solving critical problems of congested transportation networks.
Ano: 2022
Autor(es): Vieira Gomes, S.
Revista: Advances on testing and experimentation in civil engineering
Editor: Springer
Keywords: Vehicle detection and tracking; Traffic management; Intelligent traffic systems
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Modelos de Duração Aplicados à Engenharia de Transportes
O tempo decorrido (ou a distância percorrida) até à ocorrência de um evento, ou a duração do mesmo, podem ser analisados através de modelos de duração baseados em risco (hazard-based duration models), os quais têm sido amplamente utilizados em campos como a medicina, as ciências sociais e a engenharia industrial. Contudo, são relativamente escassos os estudos que aplicaram modelos de duração à engenharia de transportes.Este capítulo inclui dois exemplos de aplicação de modelos de duração à investigação em engenharia de transportes. O primeiro diz respeito às distâncias percorridas por veículos descontrolados em despistes ocorridos na Carolina do Norte (E.U.A.). O segundo refere-se ao tempo decorrido até à transferência modal nas deslocações para a escola de um conjunto de alunos de 162 turmas de 51 escolas do ensino básico em Portugal.
Ano: 2021
Número Páginas:
109-124.
Autor(es): Roque, C. A.
Revista: Modelação Matemática em Engenharia de Transportes. A Experiência do Departamento de Transportes do LNEC
Keywords: Modelo de duração; Engenharia de transportes
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Modelos de estimativa de frequência de acidentes rodoviários
Em Portugal, a investigação sobre o conhecimento dos fatores que afetam a probabilidade de ocorrência de acidentes tem-se centrado essencialmente nas estradas interurbanas. No entanto, as zonas urbanas, onde ocorrem elevadas percentagens de acidentes corporais requerem uma atenção prioritária. Com o presente estudo pretendeu contribuir-se para a melhoria da segurança rodoviária em meio urbano, através da criação de ferramentas que podem ser utilizadas em métodos de intervenção em que a segurança dos utentes vulneráveis seja considerada explicitamente nas fases de planeamento e gestão das redes viárias. Uma das referidas ferramentas resultou da elaboração de modelos de estimativa de frequência de acidentes para redes urbanas, segundo diversas desagregações, em função de características do elemento rodoviário: em intersecções (três ramos, quatro ramos e rotundas) e em segmentos; segundo o tipo de acidente (atropelamentos e restantes acidentes com vítimas); e segundo a inclusão de variáveis explicativas relacionadas com o ambiente rodoviário: simplificados (apenas com as variáveis de exposição) e globais (com todas as potenciais variáveis explicativas). O desenvolvimento destes modelos foi apoiado numa base de dados georreferenciada dos acidentes rodoviários ocorridos em Lisboa entre 2004 e 2007, com a qual foi possível explorar os dados de sinistralidade na área geográfica em análise. Estas ferramentas podem ser usadas diretamente na gestão das infraestruturas rodoviárias da cidade de Lisboa e, após pequenas adaptações, estendidas a outros municípios, dotando as respetivas entidades competentes em matéria de segurança rodoviária com informação rigorosa e detalhada sobre os fatores intervenientes na ocorrência de acidentes em meio urbano e a respetiva distribuição espacial.
Ano: 2021
Número Páginas:
71-96pp.
Autor(es): Vieira Gomes, S.; Cardoso, J. L.
Revista: Modelação Matemática em Engenharia de Transportes
Editor: LNEC
Keywords: Método empírico de Bayes; Acidentes rodoviários; Modelação linear generalizada; Zonas de acumulação de acidentes; Modelos de estimativa de frequência de acidentes
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Modelos Explicativos da Gravidade dos Acidentes Rodoviários
Os dados discretos ou em escala nominal desempenham um papel fundamental nos transportes porque muitas análises de políticas lidam com estes tipos de dados. Exemplos de dados discretos nos transportes incluem o modo de transporte (automóvel, autocarro, comboio), o tipo ou categoria de veículo e o tipo de acidente rodoviário (despistes, colisões frontais, colisões traseiras, etc.). O conhecimento do efeito das diferentes intervenções de segurança rodoviária na redução da gravidade das lesões resultantes de acidentes rodoviários exige uma avaliação empírica detalhada das interações, reconhecidamente complexas, entre veículos, estrada e fatores humanos.Os avanços mais recentes nas metodologias estatísticas aplicadas a dados discretos sobre sinistralidade rodoviária permitiram o desenvolvimento de modelos sofisticados capazes de serem usados para determinar com rigor a influência dos fatores acima referidos nos níveis de gravidade das lesões resultantes dos acidentes rodoviários.Neste contexto, a aplicação de modelos de resultado discreto permite identificar um conjunto de fatores, relacionados com a envolvente rodoviária, que são estatisticamente relacionáveis com a gravidade das lesões dos utentes envolvidos em acidentes rodoviários, permitindo aperfeiçoar a conceção e o dimensionamento das estradas, bem como orientar políticas conducentes à melhoria da segurança rodoviária. Este capítulo inclui um exemplo de aplicação do modelo logit multinomial usando a gravidade das lesões no condutor como variável de resposta.
Ano: 2021
Número Páginas:
97-108.
Autor(es): Roque, C. A.; Cardoso, J. L.
Revista: Modelação Matemática em Engenharia de Transportes. A Experiência do Departamento de Transportes do LNEC.
Keywords: Acidente rodoviário; Modelo de resultado discreto; Modelo logit multinomial
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A hybrid approach for prioritising road safety interventions in urban areas
Spatial organization in cities has often given a special attention to the requirements of motorized vehicles, neglecting pedestrians and cyclists
Ano: 2020
Número Páginas:
204-208pp.
Autor(es): Vieira Gomes, S.; Roque, C. A.; Cardoso, J. L.
Revista: Proceedings of the XXIV International Conference on Living and Walking in Cities.
Editor: CRC Press, Taylor & Francis Group
Keywords: High crash risk sites; Empirical Bayes method; GIS; Accident prediction models
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The role of sustainable urban mobility plans and ICT to improve public space for social inclusion
The importance of sustainable urban mobility plans is widely recognized by local and regional authorities across Europe. Technological innovation opportunities such as those offered by current and future ICT can contribute for cities to advance towards sustainable mobility and accessibility for inclusive public spaces.This article is built on an innovative living lab experience of the Intermunicipal Community of the Algarve (AMAL), the regional transport authority, scientifically supported by the LNEC, in Portugal, that comprised the development of the designated
Ano: 2018
Número Páginas:
109-122pp.
Autor(es): Arsénio, E.; Coelho, J.
Revista: Neighbourhood & City - Between digital and analogue perspectives
Editor: UL/COST
Keywords: Transport decarbonisation; Low carbon mobility; Accessibility; Transport planning and policies; Public spaces; App; Information and communications technology; Sustainable mobility
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Teses de Doutoramento
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Avaliação da Influência da Infra
O conhecimento dos factores que afectam a probabilidade de ocorrência de um acidente éuma área de investigação relevante de há muitas décadas devido aos enormes custos para asociedade dos acidentes rodoviários. Em Portugal, os desenvolvimentos nesta matériacentraram-se essencialmente nas estradas inter-urbanas. No entanto, as zonas urbanas,caracterizadas por elevadas percentagens de acidentes corporais (cerca de 69% do total entre2004 e 2008), requerem uma atenção prioritária.Com o presente estudo pretendeu contribuir-se para a melhoria da segurança rodoviária emmeio urbano, através da criação de ferramentas que podem ser utilizadas em métodos deintervenção em que a segurança dos utentes vulneráveis seja considerada explicitamente nasfases de planeamento e gestão das redes viárias.A primeira ferramenta correspondeu à criação de uma base de dados georreferenciada dosacidentes rodoviários ocorridos na cidade de Lisboa entre 2004 e 2007, que permitiu adefinição de mapas digitais, com possibilidade de uma grande diversidade de consultas e decruzamentos de informação.A segunda ferramenta refere-se à elaboração de modelos de estimativa de frequência deacidentes para redes urbanas, segundo diversas desagregações: segundo o elementorodoviário: em intersecções (intersecção de três ramos, intersecção de quatro ramos erotundas) e em segmentos; segundo o tipo de acidente: atropelamentos e restantes acidentescom vítimas; e segundo a inclusão de variáveis explicativas relacionadas com o ambienterodoviário: simplificado (apenas com as variáveis de exposição) e global (com todas aspotenciais variáveis explicativas). Foi considerada a incorporação de dados de exposiçãorelativos aos utentes vulneráveis por forma a melhorar a capacidade de estimativa dasinistralidade em redes urbanas.Estas duas ferramentas podem ser usadas directamente na gestão de infra-estruturas, dotandoas entidades com competência em matéria de segurança rodoviária com informação rigorosa edetalhada sobre os factores intervenientes na ocorrência de acidentes em meio urbano erespectiva distribuição espacial.
Ano: 2010
Número Páginas:
371.
Autor(es): Vieira Gomes, S.
Keywords: Sistemas de informação geográficos; Modelos matemáticos; Zona urbana; Segurança rodoviária
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Estudo das Relações entre as Características da Estrada, a Velocidade e os Acidentes Rodoviários. Aplicação a Estradas de Duas Vias e Dois Sentidos.
No período de 1988 a 1993, ocorreram anualmente nas estradas rurais de uma faixa de rodagem e dois sentidos da Rede Rodoviária Nacional de Portugal, em média, cerca de 1471 acidentes corporais anuais em curva fora de cruzamentos. Estes acidentes constituem cerca de 33% dos acidentes corporais fora de cruzamentos participados na referida rede.O objectivo do presente trabalho é contribuir para o conhecimento da influência da estrada na ocorrência de acidentes e para o desenvolvimento de um método para avaliação de traçados rodoviários do ponto de vista da segurança.Foram realizadas in situ campanhas de recolha de dados sobre as distribuições de velocidades dos condutores, os quais foram relacionados com as características geométricas das estradas e com a respectiva sinistralidade. Foram desenvolvidos modelos para estimativa de perfis de velocidade de circulação livre, bem como modelos para estimativa da frequência de acidentes, em estradas de uma faixa de rodagem e dois sentidos, adaptados às condições de tráfego nacionais. Os referidos modelos foram integrados num procedimento para detectar inconsistências de velocidade em especial associadas à ocorrência de acidentes em curva, o qual foi usado para fundamentar uma proposta de quantificação de critérios de homogeneidade de traçado, adaptados à realidade do sistema de tráfego rodoviário português.
Ano: 1996
Autor(es): Cardoso, J. L.
Keywords: estrada de 2 vias e 2 sentidos; Modelos de frequência de acidentes; Homogeneidade de traçado; Velocidade; Acidente rodoviário; Características da estrada
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Relatórios
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Safety Performance Indicators: posters for the first SafetyNet Conference
Work Package 3 of SafetyNet deals with Safety Performance Indicators. They measure the operational conditions of the road traffic system. Work Package 3 deals with seven topics: alcohol and drug use; speeds; protective systems; daytime running lights; vehicles; road; trauma management. This deliverable concerns the contribution of Work Package 3 to the first SafetyNet conference, which was held in Prague on May 10 and 11, 2006. Each topic prepared a poster with an overview of the state-of-play. In this document, these posters are assembled. Each topic has a preferred indicator, which can be used for measuring safety performance across countries. This indicator is accompanied by requirements that should be met by the data, in order to be able to calculate the indicator. For most tasks, values could be calculated for the indicators by using the available data. Data are not available for all countries and/or all topics.
Ano: 2006
Autor(es): Hafen, K.; Hasse, A.; Allenbach, R.; Riguelle, F.; Verbeke, T.; Eksler, V.; Haddak, M.; Holló, P.; Arsénio, E.; Cardoso, J. L.; Vieira Gomes, S.; Papadimitriou, E.; Goldenbeld, C.; Mathijssen, R.; Lou
Keywords: SafetyNet conference; road traffic system; Safety performance indicator
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A comparative study of the development of road safety in Catalonia, Spain, Portugal and Greece.
This report is one of three area reports that examine the road safety performance of the nine countries participating in the SUNflowerplus project. This area report compares the road safety situation of the Southern countries of Greece, Portugal and Spain (including a separate analysis for the Spanish autonomous region of Catalonia).The aim of this report is to identify the major road traffic risk differences between Southern European countries based upon a comparative approach initially applied by the SUN (Sweden, United Kingdom & the Netherlands) countries, and focussed on the analysis of fatalities by users of different modes of road transport.The method for comparing the Southern countries has been developed from that of the original SUNflower report (SWOV, 2002), and is reflected in the organisation of the chapters:- Description of national policy and plans. - Description of the transport context.- Fatalities by road user mode and collisions between modes.- Case studies for: drink-driving, seat belts, young drivers, speed management, pedestrians, mopeds and motorcycles.In some cases (for example, young drivers and pedestrians), the indicators used to compare the situation in the Southern countries are common to those reported in the SUN and Central areas. In other cases (for example, speed management) the situations are very different and there is less scope for comparison.SUNflower+6 compares statistics for road fatalities in terms of fatalities within 30 days of the accident. In all three Southern countries, the figures are based on national factors applied to police data recording deaths within 24 hours. In producing indicators, various efforts to improve data systems have been detected. In general, a greater use of information and communications technologies could improve the process of data registration as well as facilitating improved analysis.All three countries (and the autonomous region of Catalonia) have published a plan covering a period of three or more years (including the current year of 2005) that sets quantified targets for a reduction in the number of road accident fatalities. Such progress in road safety planning is a relatively new aspect of road safety activity in the Southern countries studied. The targeted reductions for Portugal are even more ambitious than those of the EU White Policy paper proposing a halving in road deaths by 2010, whilst those for Spain and Catalonia are in line with the European overall projection and those for Greece are more modest.
Ano: 2005
Autor(es): Hayes, S.; Serrano, S.; Giralt, L. P.; Zori, P.; Handanos, Y.; Lymperi, C.; Katsochis, D.; Macedo, A. L.; Cardoso, J. L.; Vieira Gomes, S.
Keywords: injury; traffic; policy; Road safety
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State of the art Report on Road Safety Performance Indicators.
GeneralRoad safety can be assessed in terms of the social costs of crashes and injuries. However, simply counting crashes or injuries is an imperfect indicator of the level of road safety. When crashes occur it is the
Ano: 2005
Autor(es): Hafen, K.; Lerner, M.; Allenbach, R.; Verbeke, T.; Eksler, V.; Haddak, M.; Holló, P.; Arsénio, E.; Cardoso, J. L.; Vieira Gomes, S.; Papadimitriou, E.; Amelink, M.; Goldenbeld, C.; Mathijssen, R.; Lou
Keywords: Safety performance Indicators; Road safety
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SUNFLOWER+6. Southern Group. Case Study on Pedestrians
The SUNflower+6 project is based on a comparative study regarding road safety in nine countries and one autonomous region from the EU. These countries are divided into three groups: -
Ano: 2005
Autor(es): Macedo, A. L.; Vieira Gomes, S.; Cardoso, J. L.; Handanos, Y.; Katsochis, D.; Serrano, S.; Zori, P.; Hayes, S.
Keywords: Pedestrians; Road user; Fatality; Injury; Policy; Road safety
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Informações Científicas e Técnicas
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Audit de sécurité routière au projet de routes du réseau routier national
Ce document est la traduction en langue française du manuel destiné à appuyer la mise en oeuvre d'audits de sécurité routière au projet d
Ano: 2018
Autor(es): Cardoso, J. L.
Keywords: PT; La sécurité routière; Manuel; Audit; Projet routier
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Estado-da-arte sobre medidas de engenharia de segurança rodoviária em ambiente urbano e sobre modelos de estimativa da frequência de acidentes - Resultados do projecto IRUMS
O presente documento constitui o primeiro relatório referente à actividadedesenvolvida pelo Laboratório Nacional de Engenharia Civil (LNEC) e pela Faculdadede Ciências e Tecnologias da Universidade de Coimbra (FCT/UC) no âmbito doprojecto IRUMS
Ano: 2011
Número Páginas:
152pp.
Autor(es): Vieira Gomes, S.; Cardoso, J. L.; Carvalheira, C.; Picado Santos, L.
Editor: LNEC
Keywords: Previsão estatística; Modelo estatístico; Acidente rodoviário; Área urbana; Segurança rodoviária
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Método para intervenção na infra-estrutura rodoviária urbana para melhoria da segurança - Resultados do projecto IRUMS
O presente documento constitui o quinto relatório referente à actividade desenvolvidapelo Laboratório Nacional de Engenharia Civil (LNEC) e pela Faculdade de Ciências eTecnologias da Universidade de Coimbra (FCT/UC) no âmbito do projecto IRUMS
Ano: 2011
Número Páginas:
51pp.
Autor(es): Vieira Gomes, S.; Cardoso, J. L.; Carvalheira, C.; Picado Santos, L.
Editor: LNEC
Keywords: Análise de dados; Modelo estatístico; Acidente rodoviário; Segurança rodoviária; Área urbana; Infra-estrutura rodoviária
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Accident prediction models for bidirectional data on portuguese motorways
The present document describes prediction models for accident, fatalities,serious injuries and killed and seriously injured victims, adjusted to bidirectionaldata of Portuguese motorway sections. The study was developed at LaboratórioNacional de Engenharia Civil (LNEC) in the scope of Workpackage 2 - SafetyImpact Assessment and Accident Prediction Model of the RIPCORD-ISERESTproject, carried out under the 6th European Framework Program. It covers theissues related to modeling accidents using the Negative Binomial modelregressions as well as detailed diagnostic checks of the models obtained.The data used were collected over a five year period, ranging from 1999 to2003. Several explanatory variables were measured concerning exposure,number of lanes, presence of an additional lane, lane widths, type and widths ofthe road
Ano: 2009
Número Páginas:
153pp.
Autor(es): Lopes, S.; Cardoso, J. L.
Editor: LNEC
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Outros
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Study for a possible Revision of the European legal framework for maximum authorised weights and dimensions of certain road vehicles
This document forms the Final Report of the Support study for the ex-post Evaluation of Directive 96/53/EC on Weights and Dimensions (W&D). The W&D Directive regulates the maximum weights and dimensions of vehicles for road transportation of goods and people in the EU. The Directive has been amended several times to promote more energy-efficient and sustainable transport. National derogations are allowed under the Directive, and some member states have taken advantage of this to permit larger capacity vehicles.This study, which ran from May 2022 until April 2023, was awarded by the Directorate-General for Mobility and Transport (DG MOVE) of the European Commission to a Consortium led by Ramboll Management Consulting along with Transport & Mobility Leuven, Panteia, LNEC, Apollo Vehicle Safety, and individual subcontracted experts. Methodologically, the study followed the process of a backward-looking Evaluation as set out in the Better Regulation Guidelines. This means that it covers five primary evaluation criteria (relevance, effectiveness, efficiency, coherence, and EU added value. Following a round of qualitative desk research and literature review, stakeholder consultation activities were conducted to gather primary data in relation to each of the evaluation questions. This included a large stakeholder survey, a limited number of targeted follow-up interviews, a workshop, and the analysis of a Public Consultation run by the Commission.One key tool guiding the evaluation process has been formed by the Intervention Logic (figure on the next page). The graphical representation of the tool brings together in a comprehensive way what the main problems (and underlying drivers) are related to the Directive, as well as the general, specific, and operational objectives contained in these. Finally, it shows the inputs used as well as the outputs produced and the results and impacts ultimately brought about by it. The links between specific elements are shown with arrows.This has been used in conjunction with an Evaluation Matrix setting out 17 main Evaluation Questions (EQs), as well as more operational sub-questions, indicators, judgment criteria, data sources, and analytical approach used.
Ano: 2024
Autor(es): Breemersch, T.; Knight, I.; Rodrigues, M.; Daniëls, S.; Maerivoet, S.; Kourounioti, I.; Kiel, J.; Vieira Gomes, S.; Fontul, S.; Houkes, R.; Jacob, B.; Houtte, B.
Keywords: Stakeholder consultation; Directive 96/53/EC; Evaluation
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Support study for the ex-post evaluation of Directive 96/53/EC on Weights and Dimensions
This Impact Assessment accompanied a legislative proposal for the revision of Council Directive 96/53/EC on the maximum dimensions and weights of certain road vehicles in national and international traffic (the Weights and Dimensions Directive). The revision aimed to support the EU
Ano: 2023
Autor(es): Breemersch, T.; Knight, I.; Rodrigues, M.; Daniëls, S.; Maerivoet, S.; Kourounioti, I.; Vieira, S.; Fontul, S.; Houtte, B.; Kiel, J.; Houkes, R.
Keywords: Impact Assessment; European Union; Zero Emission Vehicles; Legislation, Policy; Heavy Duty Vehicles; Weight and Dimensions
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Benchmarking road safety in Latin American countries
The main objective of the project was the benchmarking of road safety performances and developments of ten Latin American countries.The comparison allowed to identify the similarities and differences between countries, not only on the number of crashes and casualties, but also on the factors, circumstances and events that influence the risk of a crash and the severity of its outcome. The analysis was performed in the following areas
Ano: 2018
Autor(es): Vieira Gomes, S.; Feypell, V.; Wegman, F.
Keywords: Data collection; Latin America; Benchmarking; Road safety
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Document organisationnel du système de comptage. Document descriptif des besoins
Neste relatório é proposta a estrutura organizacional para realização das contagens tendentes ao recenseamento de tráfego rodoviário na rede de estradas interubanas da Argélia, incluindo o dimensionamento do parque de equipamento de contagem a usar, sua configuração (cntagens permanentes e temporárias), bem como a avaliação dos prazos de realização, em função da dimensão das equipas encarregadas da colocação e exploração dos equipamentos nos trechos da rede rodoviária.
Ano: 2017
Autor(es): Rème, A.; Courbon, T.; Robin, V.; Cardoso, J. L.
Keywords: Rede rodoviária; Tráfego rodoviário
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Transport Challenge in Horizon 2020. ECTRI suggestions for the third work programme (2018-2020) in the field of "Transport economics and policy"
The European Conference of Transport Research Institutes (ECTRI) is an international non
Ano: 2016
Autor(es): Arsénio, E.; Heddebaut, O.; Tuominen, A.
Keywords: Connected and automated transport; Socio-economic research; Low carbon transport; Behavioural research; Transport policies; Transport economics; Integrated transport; Green transport; Smart transport; Horizon 2020
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Assessment of intermodal freight transport costs
The research reported in this paper is part of the R&D project COST-TRENDs, funded by the Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology. It presents a strategic assessment study of the hinterland connections centred in the Port of Sines, in Portugal, that integrates the core network corridor of the Trans-European Transport Network (TEN-T) designated as the Atlantic corridor. The study comprised the analysis of trends of maritime freight costs until 2020 and the assessment of alternative intermodal freight transport options to reduce costs along the multimodal transport chains. The options evaluated focused in the Iberian section of the Atlantic corridor and included the combination of maritime-short sea shipping, maritime-rail, maritime-road and, also, rail-air modes. The study estimated several key performance indicators for each option which aim to provide useful inputs to transport policy.
Ano: 2014
Número Páginas:
16pp.
Autor(es): Prata, J.; Arsénio, E.
Keywords: Freight transport costs; Co2 emissions; Climate change externalities; Intermodal freight transport
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How to Promote Sustainable Land-Use Changes Through Developing Intermodal High-Speed Railway Stations: a case study in Portugal
The literature shows that the development of the railway system in most European countries had a key role both in the evolution of urban systems and regional dynamics. On the other hand, it can be said that railway stations might act as important drivers for promoting sustainable land-use changes, namely of node and place functions which can be consistently balanced.The future Portuguese High-Speed Railway (HSR) network is considered as a major strategic transport scheme at both the Iberian and national levels. Its first stage comprises three routes. Of these, one links the Lisbon Metropolitan Area with the Spanish border of Badajoz, being an integral part of the HSR between both Iberian capitals, whereas the other two form the Atlantic Axis, encompassing a system of cities ranging from Lisbon to Porto, an from the latter point to Braga, Vigo and Coruña, concentrating nearly 80% of the whole Portuguese population, and serving an area generating about 90% of Portugal
Ano: 2010
Número Páginas:
30p..
Autor(es): Arsénio, E.; Tao, M.; Ferreira, F.
Editor: PTRC, UK
Keywords: Stated-choice survey; Discrete choice models; Territorial impacts; Intermodality; High-speed rail
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